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St. George City vs Sydney Olympic

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George City play Sydney Olympic in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. George City averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Sydney Olympic averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. In past meetings, St. George City won 1, Sydney Olympic won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for St. George City and 0.75 for Sydney Olympic. This points to a St. George City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
St. George City
34%
Draws
28%
Sydney Olympic
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: St. George City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • St. George City picked up more points recently compared to Sydney Olympic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
St. George City Clean Sheet 27%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City Sydney Olympic
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Olympic
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs St. George City
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs St. George City
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Olympic
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Olympic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedersen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Callaghan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 40 / 100
Sydney Olympic 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City Sydney Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. George City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. George City attacking → ← attacking Sydney Olympic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George City scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sydney Olympic let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St. George City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sydney Olympic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 29
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715