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St George Saints vs Marconi Stallions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St George Saints play Marconi Stallions in the NPL NSW. Marconi Stallions are favorites here. Recently, St George Saints averaged 1 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Marconi Stallions averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, St George Saints won 0, Marconi Stallions won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for St George Saints and 1.75 for Marconi Stallions. This points to a Marconi Stallions double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
St George Saints
21%
Draws
59%
Marconi Stallions
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Marconi Stallions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • St George Saints picked up more points recently compared to Marconi Stallions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 12%
Marconi Stallions Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Marconi Stallions
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 21
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 1 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs St George Saints
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Marconi Stallions
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Marconi Stallions
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs St George Saints
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Marconi Stallions
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Keys H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Marconi Stallions Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugarija A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 20 / 100
Marconi Stallions 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Marconi Stallions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marconi Stallions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Marconi Stallions & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St George Saints attacking → ← attacking Marconi Stallions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Marconi Stallions let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Marconi Stallions lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 68
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715