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St George Saints vs St. George City

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St George Saints play St. George City in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, St George Saints averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. St. George City averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, St George Saints won 1, St. George City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for St George Saints and 1.63 for St. George City. This points to a St. George City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
St George Saints
20%
Draws
46%
St. George City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. George City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • St George Saints picked up more points recently compared to St. George City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 14%
St. George City Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints St. George City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs St George Saints
0:0
Jul 13, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs St George Saints
1:2
Jun 15, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs St. George City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

St. George City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatafu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 33 / 100
St. George City 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints St. George City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. George City or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St George Saints attacking → ← attacking St. George City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

St. George City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

St. George City lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 30
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

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6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918