Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St George Saints vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Wells M.
16' Event
Vlastelica A.
47' Event
Wright K. P.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and Sydney Utd finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
St George Saints
33%
Draws
40%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sydney Utd come out ahead of St George Saints on wins alone.
  • Sydney Utd are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 17%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Sydney Utd
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Utd
1:3
Aug 3, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St George Saints
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Utd
2:4
Jun 23, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St George Saints
0:0
Mar 16, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Sydney Utd
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright K. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sydney Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Wells M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vlastelica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 28 / 100
Sydney Utd 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Sydney Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

St George Saints's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sydney Utd has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Sydney Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918