Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St George Saints vs Wollongong

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Casella J.
28' Event
Mcstay C.
90' Event
Farrow H.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St George Saints and Wollongong finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St George Saints.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
St George Saints
22%
Draws
60%
Wollongong
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Wollongong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • St George Saints haven't matched Wollongong's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wollongong a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 16%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Wollongong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Wollongong
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs St George Saints
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St George Saints Compare

Top Goalscorer Casella J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mcstay C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Wollongong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 19 / 100
Wollongong 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Wollongong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St George Saints scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Wollongong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Wollongong lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Wollongong
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
20 Jun
Manly Utd
2 : 0
St George Saints
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Wollongong

(Away)
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3
SD Raiders
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2
Wollongong
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
21 Jun
Wollongong
2 : 3
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions24174345:1555
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd24163535:1751
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Wollongong24951028:3232
9UNSW24941135:3631
10NWS Spirit24941128:3031
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13Blacktown City24671133:3925
14St. George City24671122:4025
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)