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St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Thompson L.
42' Event
Fogarty D.
45' Event
Fogarty D.

AI Match Summary

Broadbeach Utd. in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Broadbeach Utd..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. George Willawong
11%
Draws
80%
Broadbeach Utd.
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Broadbeach Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Broadbeach Utd. have won more games recently than St. George Willawong.
  • Model gives Broadbeach Utd. a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%
Broadbeach Utd. Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Broadbeach Utd.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 2
Goals Scored 0.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
4:1
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
1:5
Jun 23, 2024 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Broadbeach Utd.
2:2
Mar 24, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Broadbeach Utd. vs St. George Willawong
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Broadbeach Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lowe N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 10 / 100
Broadbeach Utd. 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Broadbeach Utd.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

Broadbeach Utd. let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: St. George Willawong scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

St. George Willawong went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Broadbeach Utd.
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadbeach Utd.18144047:1646
2Brisbane Strikers18143144:1445
3Sunshine Coast Wanderers1885536:2429
4Robina City1884630:2028
5Ipswich1884629:2728
6Caboolture1883735:3127
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
9Logan Lightning1872933:3523
10North Star18331216:3712
11St. George Willawong18311410:4110
12Capalaba FC18221417:518