Sport Picks
St. George Willawong vs Caboolture
Australia
Queensland Premier League Willawong 
Match Events
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AI Match Summary
St. George Willawong play Caboolture in the Queensland Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. George Willawong averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Caboolture averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, St. George Willawong won 3, Caboolture won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for St. George Willawong and 2.75 for Caboolture. This points to a Caboolture double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caboolture has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. George Willawong.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Queensland Premier League provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. George Willawong | Caboolture |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. George Willawong scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Caboolture let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
St. George Willawong went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Caboolture lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach Utd. | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 46:15 | 45 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 42:14 | 42 |
| 3 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36:22 | 29 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:24 | 28 |
| 5 | Caboolture | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 34:30 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Redlands | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 29:33 | 23 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 30:33 | 20 |
| 10 | North Star | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16:37 | 11 |
| 11 | St. George Willawong | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10:39 | 10 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 17 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16:50 | 7 |