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St. George Willawong vs Capalaba FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Willawong, Willawong
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Gordon M.

AI Match Summary

Capalaba FC in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capalaba FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. George Willawong
15%
Draws
49%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capalaba FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Capalaba FC average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of St. George Willawong's 0.83.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 15%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George Willawong Capalaba FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs St. George Willawong
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Capalaba FC
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs St. George Willawong
1:3
Apr 28, 2024 Queensland Premier League
St. George Willawong vs Capalaba FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George Willawong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George Willawong 31 / 100
Capalaba FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George Willawong Capalaba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capalaba FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Capalaba FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Capalaba FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

St. George Willawong found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

St. George Willawong VS Capalaba FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George Willawong

(Home)
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
02 Aug
St. George Willawong
0 : 1
Brisbane Strikers
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
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Capalaba FC

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)