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St. George's FC vs Mqabba FC

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mqabba FC in this Challenge League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mqabba FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St. George's FC
6%
Draws
90%
Mqabba FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mqabba FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mqabba FC lately — more wins on the board than St. George's FC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mqabba FC taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mqabba FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. George's FC Clean Sheet 10%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George's FC Mqabba FC
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs St. George's FC
4:1
Dec 4, 2021 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Mqabba FC
1:4
Mar 7, 2021 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Mqabba FC
0:2
Nov 23, 2020 Challenge League
Mqabba FC vs St. George's FC
1:0
Feb 24, 2020 Challenge League
St. George's FC vs Mqabba FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George's FC 10 / 100
Mqabba FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George's FC Mqabba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MQA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mqabba FC conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Mqabba FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

St. George's FC's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. George's FC VS Mqabba FC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George's FC

(Home)
13 Dec
St. George's FC
1 : 5
Swieqi
09 Apr
St. George's FC
2 : 2
Lija
01 Apr
Zejtun
2 : 0
St. George's FC
15 Mar
Floriana
2 : 0
St. George's FC
12 Mar
Mqabba FC
4 : 1
St. George's FC
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Mqabba FC

(Away)
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0
Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)