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St. George's SC vs Village United

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. George's SC play Village United in the Premier League 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. George's SC averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Village United averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, St. George's SC won 1, Village United won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 20, 2011 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for St. George's SC and 0.86 for Village United. This points to a St. George's SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
St. George's SC
24%
Draws
35%
Village United
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: St. George's SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • St. George's SC picked up more points recently compared to Village United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
St. George's SC Clean Sheet 25%
Village United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George's SC Village United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.7 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2011 Premier League
St. George's SC vs Village United
0:1
Jan 2, 2011 Premier League
Village United vs St. George's SC
0:1
Oct 28, 2010 Premier League
St. George's SC vs Village United
0:1
May 9, 2010 Premier League
Village United vs St. George's SC
3:0
Apr 5, 2010 Premier League
St. George's SC vs Village United
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George's SC 42 / 100
Village United 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George's SC Village United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. George's SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. George's SC attacking → ← attacking Village United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George's SC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Village United let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

St. George's SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Village United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 37
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Harbour View33197744:2464
2Tivoli331712452:2263
3Waterhouse331481134:3350
4Boys' Town3311121027:2645
5St. George's SC331014926:2644
6Village United339141029:3541
7Portmore339111320:2738
8Humble Lions338131227:3337
9Rivoli338131231:3937
10Arnett Gardens338121330:3736
11Sporting337141226:2935
12August Town33981625:4035