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St. Georges vs Adama City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Georges host Adama City in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Adama City have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while St. Georges have conceded 0.9 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, St. Georges have won 2 to Adama City's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.75) point toward St. Georges. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Georges
35%
Draws
34%
Adama City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Adama City haven't matched St. Georges's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Georges's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St. Georges Clean Sheet 20%
Adama City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Georges Adama City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
St. Georges vs Adama City
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
1:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
St. Georges vs Adama City
0:1
Jan 9, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs St. Georges
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Georges 49 / 100
Adama City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Georges Adama City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Georges Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: St. Georges stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Adama City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

St. Georges found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

St. Georges VS Adama City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Georges

(Home)
10 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1
St. Georges
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0
Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 0
St. Georges
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0
Mechal SC
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Adama City

(Away)
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopian Insurance 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Mechal SC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Bahir Dar Kenema 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Sheger Ketema FC 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
13 Hawassa 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
16 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
17 Hadiya Hossana 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)