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St Ives Town vs Harborough

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Dobson N.
64' Event
McAuley R.
68' Event
Pennant T.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between St Ives Town and Harborough finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St Ives Town
11%
Draws
80%
Harborough
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Harborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • St Ives Town haven't matched Harborough's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Harborough a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 10%
Harborough Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Ives Town Harborough
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Harborough
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs St Ives Town
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Harborough vs St Ives Town
1:2
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Harborough
4:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
St Ives Town vs Harborough
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Ives Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobson N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Harborough Compare

Top Goalscorer McAuley R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pennant T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Ives Town 10 / 100
Harborough 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Ives Town Harborough

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St Ives Town found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Harborough let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

St Ives Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Ives Town VS Harborough
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525