Sport Picks
St Ives Town vs Kettering
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Panter E.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Baker T.
57'
57'
Panter E.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between St Ives Town and Kettering finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kettering
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kettering come out ahead of St Ives Town on wins alone.
- St Ives Town are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 14%
Kettering Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Ives Town | Kettering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.41 | 1.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Kettering
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs St Ives Town
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
St Ives Town vs Kettering
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs St Ives Town
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 FA Cup
St Ives Town vs Kettering
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Ives Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Baker T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Kettering Compare
Top Goalscorer Panter E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Ives Town 35 / 100
Kettering 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Ives Town Kettering
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Ives Town scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: St Ives Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Kettering let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
St Ives Town VS Kettering
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St Ives Town
(Home) 28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
18 Apr
Worcester
2 : 2 St Ives Town
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2 Bromsgrove
06 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 2 St Ives Town
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
St Ives Town
3 : 2 Stortford
25 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 0 Stratford
11 Apr
St Ives Town
0 : 2 Bromsgrove
03 Apr
St Ives Town
1 : 2 Harborough
21 Mar
St Ives Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
Page 1 of 4
Kettering
(Away) 15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1 Kettering
11 Aug
Leighton Town
1 : 1 Kettering
08 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Alvechurch
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Bedford
29 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 1 Kettering
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Leamington
0 : 1 Kettering
11 Aug
Leighton Town
1 : 1 Kettering
29 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 1 Kettering
25 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 1 Kettering
06 Apr
Stratford
2 : 0 Kettering
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
