Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone

3 - 0

Morton

Our Tip

Match Events

Chalmers L.

46'

Sub

Holt J. In: Gullan J.

Out: Holt J.

62'

Gillespie G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between St Johnstone and Morton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Johnstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

St Johnstone

Draws

Morton

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Morton haven't matched St Johnstone's recent run of results.
Model gives St Johnstone a 90% chance of winning this.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and St Johnstone have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

St Johnstone Clean Sheet 20%

Morton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St Johnstone	Morton
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	19	6
Draws	7	6
Losses	2	16
Goals Scored	2.75	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League Cup

St Johnstone vs Morton

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Mar 7, 2026 Championship

Morton vs St Johnstone

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Dec 20, 2025 Championship

St Johnstone vs Morton

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

5:0

Oct 25, 2025 Championship

Morton vs St Johnstone

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:4

Aug 30, 2025 Championship

St Johnstone vs Morton

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Gullan J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader McAlear R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Morton Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 85 / 100

Morton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St Johnstone Morton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 4:3

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Johnstone scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Morton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: St Johnstone remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Morton

2.75 Goals Scored 0.38

0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Queen's Park	2	2	0	5:1	6
2	Aberdeen	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Kelty Hearts	2	1	1	1:3	2
4	Queen of the South	1	0	1	1:1	1
5	Brora Rangers	2	0	2	1:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Stirling	2	1	1	3:2	3
2	Arbroath	1	1	0	2:1	3
3	Montrose	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Dundee Utd	2	1	1	1:1	3
5	Spartans	2	0	2	2:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Mirren	1	1	0	4:0	3
2	East Kilbride	2	1	1	5:3	3
3	Cove Rangers	1	1	0	3:2	3
4	Dunfermline	2	1	1	4:4	3
5	Dumbarton	2	0	2	1:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Dundee FC	2	2	0	9:2	6
2	Ross County	1	1	0	4:1	3
3	Clyde	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Airdrieonians	2	0	2	2:5	0
5	Annan	2	0	2	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Partick	2	2	0	10:0	6
2	Livingston	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Stenhousemuir	1	1	0	2:0	3
4	Forfar Athletic	2	0	2	0:6	0
5	Brechin	2	0	2	0:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	East Fife	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	St Johnstone	1	1	0	2:0	3
3	Linlithgow Rose	2	1	1	1:2	3
4	Inverness	1	1	0	1:1	2
5	Morton	2	0	2	0:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Ayr	2	2	0	4:2	6
2	Falkirk	2	1	1	5:1	3
3	Edinburgh City	2	1	1	2:5	3
4	Stranraer	1	0	1	2:3	0
5	Alloa	1	0	1	0:2	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Raith	2	1	1	3:1	4
2	Peterhead	2	1	1	3:2	3
3	Hamilton	1	1	0	1:0	3
4	Kilmarnock	1	1	0	0:0	2
5	Elgin City	2	0	2	2:6	0