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St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fowler J.
Assist: Alic E.
42'
Tait D.
46'
Sub
Fowler J. In: Paton R.
Out: Fowler J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership game between St Johnstone and Dundee Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
St Johnstone
35%
Draws
45%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Dundee Utd on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 18%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Dundee Utd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St Johnstone
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St Johnstone
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Johnstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Cameron L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 32 / 100
Dundee Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dundee Utd has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

St Johnstone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Dundee Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
24 Oct
Rangers
4 : 0
St Johnstone
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
11 Oct
Aberdeen
0 : 1
St Johnstone
19 Sept
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Falkirk
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

Dundee Utd

(Away)
24 Oct
Dundee Utd
3 : 2
Aberdeen
17 Oct
St Johnstone
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
10 Oct
Dundee Utd
1 : 0
Hibernian
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 11 9 1 1 27:8 28
2 Rangers 11 7 3 1 19:9 24
3 Hearts 11 6 2 3 24:17 20
4 Dundee FC 11 5 2 4 17:13 17
5 Dundee Utd 11 4 4 3 16:16 16
6 Falkirk 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 St. Mirren 11 4 2 5 12:19 14
8 St Johnstone 11 3 4 4 13:17 13
9 Aberdeen 11 3 2 6 12:14 11
10 Motherwell 11 2 3 6 13:20 9
11 Hibernian 11 2 2 7 11:17 8
12 Kilmarnock 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)