Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone host Dundee Utd in the Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Dundee Utd have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while St Johnstone have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor Dundee Utd slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward St Johnstone. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St Johnstone
20%
Draws
40%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Dundee Utd on wins alone.
  • St Johnstone are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 14%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Dundee Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2025 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St Johnstone
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St Johnstone
2:0
May 6, 2023 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Dundee Utd
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 48 / 100
Dundee Utd 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Johnstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dundee Utd has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dundee Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Dundee Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
Page 1 of 6

Dundee Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
15 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 4
Celtic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)