Sport Picks

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St Johnstone vs Falkirk

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone host Falkirk in the Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. St Johnstone have averaged 1.79 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Falkirk's 1.5 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, St Johnstone have won 2 to Falkirk's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring St Johnstone. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St Johnstone
30%
Draws
23%
Falkirk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • St Johnstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St Johnstone a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 20%
Falkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Falkirk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
0:1
Jul 24, 2018 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
1:0
Jul 23, 2016 League Cup
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
3:0
May 5, 2010 Premiership
Falkirk vs St Johnstone
0:0
Mar 23, 2010 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Falkirk
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 42 / 100
Falkirk 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Falkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Johnstone scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Falkirk let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Falkirk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Falkirk
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
06 Sept
St Johnstone
2 : 1
Hibernian
02 Sept
Dundee FC
1 : 1
St Johnstone
29 Aug
Hearts
2 : 1
St Johnstone
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0
St Johnstone
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Falkirk

(Away)
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Falkirk
1 : 2
Rangers
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
09 Aug
Motherwell
0 : 0
Falkirk
01 Aug
Falkirk
0 : 2
St. Mirren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Hibernian 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
9 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
10 Aberdeen 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
11 Falkirk 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
12 Kilmarnock 5 0 1 4 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)