Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

Scotland Scotland

Premiership McDiarmid Park, Perth
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Johnstone host Kilmarnock in the Premiership. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. St Johnstone have averaged 2.25 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Kilmarnock's 2.63 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, St Johnstone have won 2 to Kilmarnock's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.63) back St Johnstone to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St Johnstone
33%
Draws
27%
Kilmarnock
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St Johnstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Johnstone come out ahead of Kilmarnock on wins alone.
  • Model gives St Johnstone a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
St Johnstone Clean Sheet 14%
Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Johnstone Kilmarnock
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.25 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
1:0
Aug 11, 2024 Premiership
Kilmarnock vs St Johnstone
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Premiership
St Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Johnstone 39 / 100
Kilmarnock 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Johnstone Kilmarnock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Johnstone scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Kilmarnock let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

St Johnstone went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Johnstone VS Kilmarnock
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Johnstone

(Home)
25 Jul
St Johnstone
1 : 2
East Fife
21 Jul
Inverness
1 : 0
St Johnstone
18 Jul
St Johnstone
3 : 0
Morton
14 Jul
Linlithgow Rose
0 : 2
St Johnstone
11 Jul
Cove Rangers
2 : 4
St Johnstone
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Kilmarnock

(Away)
25 Jul
Peterhead
1 : 0
Kilmarnock
21 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Hamilton
18 Jul
Elgin City
0 : 1
Kilmarnock
14 Jul
Kilmarnock
1 : 0
Raith
04 Jul
Linfield
2 : 3
Kilmarnock
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Falkirk00000:00
3Hearts00000:00
4Hibernian00000:00
5Kilmarnock00000:00
6Motherwell00000:00
7St. Mirren00000:00
8Dundee FC00000:00
9St Johnstone00000:00
10Celtic00000:00
11Rangers00000:00
12Aberdeen00000:00
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)