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Stadium Background

St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps

Gibraltar Gibraltar

Gibraltar Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
St Josephs
20%
Draws
45%
Lincoln Red Imps
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lincoln Red Imps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Lincoln Red Imps have won more games recently than St Josephs.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lincoln Red Imps arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lincoln Red Imps, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 20%
Lincoln Red Imps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Josephs Lincoln Red Imps
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 20 23
Draws 4 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 3.07 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
0:0
Aug 23, 2026 Super Cup
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lincoln Red Imps
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 National League
Lincoln Red Imps vs St Josephs
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Josephs 36 / 100
Lincoln Red Imps 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Josephs Lincoln Red Imps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Red Imps Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Josephs found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

St Josephs has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Lincoln Red Imps conceded in 50% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Josephs VS Lincoln Red Imps
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Josephs

(Home)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

Lincoln Red Imps

(Away)
13 Sept
Mons Calpe
1 : 1
Lincoln Red Imps
04 Sept
Lincoln Red Imps
4 : 0
Europa Point
30 Aug
Glacis United
0 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3
Lincoln Red Imps
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hound Dogs 1
Magpies 0
St Josephs 0
Lincoln Red Imps 1
Manchester 62 0
Lions Gibraltar 4
Europa Point -
TBD -
College 1975 -
TBD -
Glacis United -
TBD -
Mons Calpe -
TBD -
Lynx 1
Europa FC 0
Quarter-finals
Hound Dogs 0
Lincoln Red Imps 2
Lions Gibraltar 4
Europa Point 0
College 1975 0
Glacis United 2
Mons Calpe 1
Lynx 0
Semi-finals
Lincoln Red Imps 2
Lions Gibraltar 1
Glacis United 0
Mons Calpe 2
Final
Lincoln Red Imps 5
Mons Calpe 0