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St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Josephs host Lions Gibraltar in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. St Josephs have averaged 3.27 scored and 0.67 conceded recently, against Lions Gibraltar's 2.06 scored and 1.56 conceded. Head-to-head, St Josephs have won 3 to Lions Gibraltar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward St Josephs. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St Josephs
20%
Draws
33%
Lions Gibraltar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Josephs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Josephs come out ahead of Lions Gibraltar on wins alone.
  • Model gives St Josephs a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 13%
Lions Gibraltar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Josephs Lions Gibraltar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.27 2.06
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
3:3
Feb 7, 2026 National League
Lions Gibraltar vs St Josephs
0:4
Oct 26, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
3:1
May 3, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
6:0
Feb 15, 2025 Gibraltar Cup
St Josephs vs Lions Gibraltar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Josephs 84 / 100
Lions Gibraltar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Josephs Lions Gibraltar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Josephs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Josephs's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Lions Gibraltar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Solid form: St Josephs remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Josephs VS Lions Gibraltar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Josephs

(Home)
19 Sept
Lynx
0 : 6
St Josephs
12 Sept
St Josephs
3 : 0
Europa FC
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
Page 1 of 6

Lions Gibraltar

(Away)
20 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
0 : 4
Glacis United
12 Sept
Europa Point
4 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
05 Sept
Lions Gibraltar
5 : 1
Hound Dogs
29 Aug
College 1975
1 : 2
Lions Gibraltar
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
2 St Josephs 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 10:11 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
8 Europa FC 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 3:12 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - National League (Championship Group)
Relegation - National League (Relegation Group)