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St Josephs vs Magpies

Gibraltar Gibraltar

National League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between St Josephs and Magpies finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St Josephs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
St Josephs
35%
Draws
40%
Magpies
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Magpies

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St Josephs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Magpies's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St Josephs have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
St Josephs Clean Sheet 20%
Magpies Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Josephs Magpies
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.16 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 National League
St Josephs vs Magpies
4:0
Sep 19, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
0:2
Apr 11, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
0:2
Feb 19, 2025 National League
Magpies vs St Josephs
1:3
Oct 3, 2024 National League
St Josephs vs Magpies
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Josephs 16 / 100
Magpies 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Josephs Magpies

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Magpies Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Josephs found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Magpies's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

St Josephs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Josephs VS Magpies
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.57
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Josephs

(Home)
28 Aug
St Josephs
2 : 1
Mons Calpe
23 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
3 : 1
St Josephs
16 Jul
St Josephs
0 : 0
Bohemians
09 Jul
Bohemians
2 : 0
St Josephs
26 Apr
St Josephs
3 : 3
Lions Gibraltar
Page 1 of 6

Magpies

(Away)
29 Aug
Magpies
2 : 0
Lynx
22 Aug
Lions Gibraltar
1 : 1
Magpies
05 Mar
Magpies
1 : 2
Lincoln Red Imps
20 Feb
Europa Point
0 : 3
Magpies
06 Feb
Magpies
0 : 0
Lynx
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln Red Imps 22 19 2 1 79:14 59
2 St Josephs 22 19 1 2 90:10 58
3 Mons Calpe 22 15 1 6 55:24 46
4 Europa FC 22 15 1 6 44:16 46
5 Lions Gibraltar 22 12 2 8 47:34 38
6 Lynx 22 10 4 8 34:33 34
7 Magpies 22 8 2 12 22:37 26
8 Europa Point 22 7 1 14 31:61 22
9 College 1975 22 3 5 14 15:45 14
10 Glacis United 22 3 3 16 18:57 12
11 Hound Dogs 22 1 5 16 10:66 8
12 Manchester 62 22 6 1 15 29:77 7
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)