Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade de la Cite de l’Oie, Visé
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Mitongo R.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between St. Liege U23 and Charleroi B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Liege U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Liege U23
30%
Draws
39%
Charleroi B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleroi B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charleroi B come out ahead of St. Liege U23 on wins alone.
  • St. Liege U23 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Charleroi B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege U23 Charleroi B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitongo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Charleroi B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege U23 67 / 100
Charleroi B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege U23 Charleroi B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Charleroi B conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: St. Liege U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

St. Liege U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege U23 VS Charleroi B
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege U23

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
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Charleroi B

(Away)
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Charleroi B
2 : 2
Flenu
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
26 Aug
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Charleroi B
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