Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Liege U23 vs Habay La Neuve

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade de la Cite de l’Oie
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kyei G.
45' Event
Mazure A.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Kyei G.

AI Match Summary

St. Liege U23 host Habay La Neuve in the National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Habay La Neuve have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while St. Liege U23 have conceded 1 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, St. Liege U23 have won 0 to Habay La Neuve's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.06) back Habay La Neuve to edge this. Habay La Neuve in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Liege U23
6%
Draws
4%
Habay La Neuve
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Liege U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Habay La Neuve has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. Liege U23.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for St. Liege U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Habay La Neuve Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege U23 Habay La Neuve
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Habay La Neuve
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Habay La Neuve vs St. Liege U23
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyei G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Habay La Neuve Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazure A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege U23 85 / 100
Habay La Neuve 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege U23 Habay La Neuve

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Habay La Neuve let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

St. Liege U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Habay La Neuve lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege U23 VS Habay La Neuve
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tubize-Braine22145349:2047
2Virton22145361:3547
3Renaissance Mons22135442:1744
4Meux22106638:2836
5Habay La Neuve22106638:3536
6Union Rochefortoise2294933:4031
7Charleroi B22931036:3830
8Stockay-Warfusee22751022:3526
9St. Gilloise 222731236:4524
10Namur22441430:5016
11Crossing Schaerbeek22441424:4416
12St. Liege U2322361325:4715