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Stadium Background

St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 Stade de la Cite de l’Oie
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bamona L.
25' Event
De Belder D.

AI Match Summary

St. Liege U23 host Renaissance Mons in the National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. St. Liege U23 have averaged 1.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Renaissance Mons's 1.88 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, St. Liege U23 have won 0 to Renaissance Mons's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 16, 2025, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Renaissance Mons to edge this. Renaissance Mons in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St. Liege U23
39%
Draws
31%
Renaissance Mons
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Renaissance Mons has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. Liege U23.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Renaissance Mons Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege U23 Renaissance Mons
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
5:1
Nov 30, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
Renaissance Mons vs St. Liege U23
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Renaissance Mons
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Renaissance Mons Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamona L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Belder D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege U23 30 / 100
Renaissance Mons 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege U23 Renaissance Mons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Renaissance Mons let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

St. Liege U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Renaissance Mons lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege U23 VS Renaissance Mons
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tubize-Braine22145349:2047
2Virton22145361:3547
3Renaissance Mons22135442:1744
4Meux22106638:2836
5Habay La Neuve22106638:3536
6Union Rochefortoise2294933:4031
7Charleroi B22931036:3830
8Stockay-Warfusee22751022:3526
9St. Gilloise 222731236:4524
10Namur22441430:5016
11Crossing Schaerbeek22441424:4416
12St. Liege U2322361325:4715