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Stadium Background

St. Liege vs Antwerp

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Scott C.
Assist: Valencia A.
62'
Sub
Nguene B. In: Said R.
Out: Nguene B.
66' Event
Scott C.
Assist: Valencia A.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between St. Liege and Antwerp finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antwerp.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St. Liege
30%
Draws
41%
Antwerp
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Antwerp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Antwerp haven't matched St. Liege's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Antwerp a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 21%
Antwerp Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Antwerp
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
0:5
Apr 21, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Antwerp vs St. Liege
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Antwerp
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Liege Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Antwerp Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 29 / 100
Antwerp 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Antwerp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Antwerp Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Liege scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Antwerp let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

St. Liege has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Antwerp
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3
St. Liege
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
01 Aug
St. Liege
0 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
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Antwerp

(Away)
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
09 Aug
Antwerp
2 : 1
SK Beveren
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
01 Aug
Millwall
1 : 0
Antwerp
25 Jul
Antwerp
1 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)