Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Liege vs Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Liege host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: St. Liege at 1.7 goals for, 1.1 against; Charleroi at 1.53 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Charleroi slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back St. Liege to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St. Liege
15%
Draws
49%
Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Charleroi haven't matched St. Liege's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Charleroi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 12%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Charleroi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Charleroi
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs St. Liege
1:2
Jan 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs St. Liege
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Charleroi
3:1
May 4, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Charleroi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 27 / 100
Charleroi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Liege scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Charleroi let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: St. Liege remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Charleroi
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
21 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

Charleroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Charleroi
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
05 Sept
Charleroi
2 : 3
Royale Union SG
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
22 Aug
Charleroi
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
2 Gent 7 6 1 0 13:4 19
3 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 15:3 18
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 7 4 1 2 7:5 13
6 Waregem 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
9 SK Beveren 7 3 0 4 7:11 9
10 Genk 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
11 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
12 Lommel SK 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 7 1 1 5 7:14 4
15 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
16 Kortrijk 7 1 0 6 2:15 3
17 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 8:14 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)