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St. Liege vs Kortrijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Maurice Dufrasnestadion, Liège
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Liege host Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: St. Liege at 1.59 goals for, 1.17 against; Kortrijk at 1.57 for, 1.47 against. Head-to-head, St. Liege have won 1 to Kortrijk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.06, favoring St. Liege. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Liege
15%
Draws
42%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Liege come out ahead of Kortrijk on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on St. Liege taking it.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 20%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Liege Kortrijk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Kortrijk
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs St. Liege
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Kortrijk
0:1
Aug 26, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs St. Liege
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Kortrijk
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Liege 58 / 100
Kortrijk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Liege Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kortrijk let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

St. Liege found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Difficult form: Kortrijk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

St. Liege VS Kortrijk
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Liege

(Home)
11 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 1
Charleroi
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Gent
2 : 1
St. Liege
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
St. Liege
1 : 0
Antwerp
Page 1 of 6

Kortrijk

(Away)
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
20 Sept
Kortrijk
1 : 0
SK Beveren
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 16:7 21
4 Royale Union SG 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Westerlo 8 4 1 3 20:17 13
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 St. Liege 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 8 2 2 4 15:16 8
13 Antwerp 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
14 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
15 Leuven 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
16 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)