Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro CITYPARK
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City 2 host Portland Timbers 2 in the MLS Next Pro. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. St. Louis City 2 have averaged 1.13 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Portland Timbers 2's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor St. Louis City 2 slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.88) back St. Louis City 2 to edge this. St. Louis City 2 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
St. Louis City 2
11%
Draws
80%
Portland Timbers 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Louis City 2 lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers 2.
  • Model gives Portland Timbers 2 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Louis City 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
2:1
May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
6:3
Apr 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
2:1
Aug 19, 2023 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Portland Timbers 2
4:1
May 26, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs St. Louis City 2
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
Portland Timbers 2 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Portland Timbers 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City 2 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Portland Timbers 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: St. Louis City 2 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Portland Timbers 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1690727:2328
5Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
6CT United FC1790831:3125
7Toronto FC II18701127:3522
8FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy17120541:2534
2Orlando City B18110739:3233
3Chattanooga18120634:2933
4Atlanta United 21790838:2630
5Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
6Huntsville City17701029:3522
7Carolina Core19501422:3218
8Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
4San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
5Real Monarchs18100829:3126
6Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
7Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Minnesota United 219100928:3129
4St. Louis City 218100829:3029
5North Texas1670926:2122
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy17120541:2534
3Orlando City B18110739:3233
4Chattanooga18120634:2933
5New York Red Bulls II18100839:2732
6New England Revolution II16110521:1831
7Atlanta United 21790838:2630
8New York City II1690727:2328
9Chicago Fire II1790827:2427
10Philadelphia Union II1890921:2126
11CT United FC1790831:3125
12Toronto FC II18701127:3522
13Huntsville City17701029:3522
14Carolina Core19501422:3218
15FC Cincinnati 217501216:3114
16Inter Miami II16101514:415
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II17130436:1640
2Houston Dynamo 216130337:1437
3Portland Timbers 218110723:2234
4Minnesota United 219100928:3129
5Ventura County18100832:2729
6Los Angeles FC 21790828:2829
7St. Louis City 218100829:3029
8San Jose Earthquakes II1690737:1928
9Real Monarchs18100829:3126
10Tacoma Defiance18801019:2424
11North Texas1670926:2122
12Vancouver Whitecaps 219601325:4017
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 218301516:3512