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St. Louis City 2 vs Real Monarchs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro CITYPARK, St. Louis, MO
St. Louis City 2 Logo

St. Louis City 2

3 - 0
FT
Real Monarchs Logo

Real Monarchs

Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Lillington Z.
24'
Jundt A.
46'
Sub
Pearce T. In: Lynch R.
Out: Pearce T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
St. Louis City 2
15%
Draws
57%
Real Monarchs
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Monarchs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Real Monarchs haven't matched St. Louis City 2's recent run of results.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on St. Louis City 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Louis City 2 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Real Monarchs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City 2 Real Monarchs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Real Monarchs
3:0
Jul 7, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs St. Louis City 2
1:3
Apr 20, 2024 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Real Monarchs
2:0
Aug 6, 2023 MLS Next Pro
St. Louis City 2 vs Real Monarchs
4:0
Jun 19, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs vs St. Louis City 2
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zengue Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lynch R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Real Monarchs Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 2 49 / 100
Real Monarchs 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City 2 Real Monarchs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Louis City 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Real Monarchs has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Real Monarchs's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City 2 VS Real Monarchs
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City 2

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6

Real Monarchs

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
14 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
4 : 0
Real Monarchs
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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