Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Louis City vs Tampa Bay Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
69' Event
Santos R.
75' Event
Jeong S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Louis City
30%
Draws
27%
Tampa Bay
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Tampa Bay have won more games recently than St. Louis City.
  • Model gives St. Louis City a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 16%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Tampa Bay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.93 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs Tampa Bay
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeong S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tampa Bay Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 66 / 100
Tampa Bay 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Tampa Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Louis City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St. Louis City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tampa Bay has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Tampa Bay
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Louis City

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Louis City
3 : 1
Toronto FC
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3
St. Louis City
13 Sept
St. Louis City
4 : 2
Minnesota United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 3
St. Louis City
Page 1 of 6

Tampa Bay

(Away)
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
Brooklyn FC
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6