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St. Maur Lusitanos vs Chambly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Caloiero N.
29' Event
Dexet F.
45' Event
Goncalves E.

AI Match Summary

St. Maur Lusitanos in this National 1 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Maur Lusitanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
St. Maur Lusitanos
15%
Draws
35%
Chambly
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Maur Lusitanos lately — more wins on the board than Chambly.
  • Model gives St. Maur Lusitanos a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 11%
Chambly Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Maur Lusitanos Chambly
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National 1 - Group A
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Chambly
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Caloiero N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dexet F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chambly Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 47 / 100
Chambly 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Maur Lusitanos Chambly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

St. Maur Lusitanos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chambly conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS Chambly
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
Page 1 of 7

Chambly

(Away)
03 Oct
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0
Chambly
19 Sept
Chambly
4 : 0
Colmar
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
06 Sept
Chambly
2 : 1
Borgo
29 Aug
Racing Club de France
1 : 2
Chambly
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Furiani Agliani 6 4 2 0 14:4 14
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
3 Racing Club de France 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Chambly 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
6 Creteil 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
7 Dieppe 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Biesheim 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
9 Haguenau 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
10 Montlouis 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
11 Epinal 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
12 USLPV 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
13 Borgo 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Colmar 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
15 Saint-Pryve 6 0 3 3 5:8 3
16 Chantilly 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)