Sport Picks

St. Maur Lusitanos vs Montlouis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France

National 1 - Group A

Montlouis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Maur Lusitanos host Montlouis in the National 1 - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. St. Maur Lusitanos have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Montlouis's 1.21 scored and 1.76 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.88, favoring St. Maur Lusitanos. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

St. Maur Lusitanos

30%

Draws

18%

Montlouis

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and St. Maur Lusitanos come out ahead of Montlouis on wins alone.
Model gives St. Maur Lusitanos a 52% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%

St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 20%

Montlouis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Maur Lusitanos	Montlouis
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	13	5
Draws	11	12
Losses	5	12
Goals Scored	1.48	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 85 / 100

Montlouis 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Maur Lusitanos Montlouis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Maur Lusitanos found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: St. Maur Lusitanos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Montlouis conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Montlouis has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS Montlouis

1.38 Goals Scored 1

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History