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St. Maur Lusitanos vs Saint-Pryve - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Depuidt L.
45' Event
Keita S.
86' Event
Keita S.

AI Match Summary

St. Maur Lusitanos in this National 1 - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Maur Lusitanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
St. Maur Lusitanos
30%
Draws
9%
Saint-Pryve
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Maur Lusitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • St. Maur Lusitanos have won more games recently than Saint-Pryve.
  • St. Maur Lusitanos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
St. Maur Lusitanos Clean Sheet 68%
Saint-Pryve Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Maur Lusitanos Saint-Pryve
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group A
St. Maur Lusitanos vs Saint-Pryve
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Maur Lusitanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Pryve Compare

Top Goalscorer Depuidt L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Maur Lusitanos 95 / 100
Saint-Pryve 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Maur Lusitanos Saint-Pryve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Maur Lusitanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Maur Lusitanos scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Saint-Pryve conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: St. Maur Lusitanos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

St. Maur Lusitanos VS Saint-Pryve
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Maur Lusitanos

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Maur Lusitanos
3 : 1
Borgo
19 Sept
Racing Club de France
0 : 0
St. Maur Lusitanos
12 Sept
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Chambly
05 Sept
USLPV
1 : 2
St. Maur Lusitanos
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
Page 1 of 6

Saint-Pryve

(Away)
03 Oct
Montlouis
1 : 0
Saint-Pryve
19 Sept
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Dieppe
12 Sept
Feignies-Aulnoye
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
05 Sept
Saint-Pryve
1 : 1
Colmar
29 Aug
St. Maur Lusitanos
2 : 1
Saint-Pryve
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Furiani Agliani 6 4 2 0 14:4 14
2 St. Maur Lusitanos 6 4 2 0 10:5 14
3 Racing Club de France 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Feignies-Aulnoye 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Chambly 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
6 Creteil 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
7 Dieppe 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Biesheim 6 2 2 2 11:7 8
9 Haguenau 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
10 Montlouis 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
11 Epinal 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
12 USLPV 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
13 Borgo 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 Colmar 6 1 2 3 4:9 5
15 Saint-Pryve 6 0 3 3 5:8 3
16 Chantilly 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)