Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Avondale United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Avondale United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 19%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Michaels | Avondale United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 25 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2014 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs St. Michaels
2:0
Aug 24, 2014 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs Avondale United
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Michaels 36 / 100
Avondale United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Michaels Avondale United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Avondale United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Avondale United conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.
Difficult form: Avondale United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
St. Michaels found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (13 games).
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
St. Michaels VS Avondale United
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Michaels
(Home) 16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0 St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
: Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5 Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1 Glengad United
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16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3 Janesboro
18 May
St. Michaels
: Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5 Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1 Glengad United
25 May
St. Michaels
1 : 0 Sheriff YC
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Avondale United
(Away) 02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0 Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2 Pike Rovers
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21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
04 Apr
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 0 Avondale United
31 May
Cobh Wanderers
3 : 3 Avondale United
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0
