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St. Michaels vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crumlin Utd in this FAI Cup 2011 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
St. Michaels
15%
Draws
64%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Crumlin Utd have won more games recently than St. Michaels.
  • Win probability leans Crumlin Utd's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crumlin Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Michaels Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.71 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2011 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs Crumlin Utd
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Michaels 10 / 100
Crumlin Utd 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Michaels Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crumlin Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Crumlin Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St. Michaels's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: St. Michaels stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Michaels VS Crumlin Utd
0.29 Goals Scored 2.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.5
29% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Michaels

(Home)
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3
Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5
Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1
Glengad United
Page 1 of 3

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe North 3
Drumcondra FC 1
TBD -
Douglas Hall -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cherry Orchard -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fanad United -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Pike Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Avondale United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor Celtic 2
Bluebell Utd 0
TBD -
Greystones United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
College Corinthians -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Tralee -
TBD -
TBD -
Youghal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sacred Heart -
TBD -
TBD -
Carlow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
Midleton -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rockmount -
TBD -
TBD -
New Ross Celtic -
Crumlin Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Michaels -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/32-finals
Bohemians -
TBD -
Glebe North 0
Douglas Hall 1
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cherry Orchard 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
Fanad United 0
Everton AFC 2
Pike Rovers 4
Avondale United 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Bangor Celtic 1
Greystones United 3
Salthill -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Sheriff YC 1
Tralee 1
Youghal 2
TBD -
Bray -
Sacred Heart 2
Carlow 1
TBD -
Limerick -
Cork City -
TBD -
Belgrove 0
Midleton 1
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Waterford -
TBD -
Rockmount 1
New Ross Celtic 4
Crumlin Utd 2
St. Michaels 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Bohemians 3
Douglas Hall 0
Finn Harps 0
Longford 1
Drogheda 4
Mervue United 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 4
Shamrock Rovers 4
Athlone 0
Cherry Orchard 1
UC Dublin 2
Monaghan United 4
Everton AFC 1
Pike Rovers 2
Sligo Rovers 3
Shelbourne 3
Greystones United 1
Salthill 1
Sheriff YC 2
Youghal 1
Bray 3
Sacred Heart 2
Limerick 4
Cork City 2
Midleton 0
Derry City 1
Wexford 4
Waterford 3
New Ross Celtic 0
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Bohemians 3
Longford 1
Drogheda 2
Dundalk 3
Shamrock Rovers 8
UC Dublin 2
Monaghan United 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Shelbourne 3
Sheriff YC 0
Bray 0
Limerick 4
Cork City 1
Wexford 0
Waterford 0
St. Patricks 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 1
Dundalk 0
Shamrock Rovers 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shelbourne 4
Limerick 3
Cork City 0
St. Patricks 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shelbourne 4
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 2
Shelbourne 1