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St. Michaels vs Usher Celtic

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2025
Sun, May 18, 2025
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAI Cup 2025. St. Michaels are expected to control this from the start. Usher Celtic have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while St. Michaels have conceded 1.57 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, St. Michaels have won 0 to Usher Celtic's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 18, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.25, favoring St. Michaels. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Michaels
15%
Draws
0%
Usher Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Michaels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • St. Michaels carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Michaels's way, sitting at 42%.
  • St. Michaels have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
St. Michaels Clean Sheet 19%
Usher Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Michaels Usher Celtic
Matches Played 14 4
Wins 4 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.71 0
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 FAI Cup
St. Michaels vs Usher Celtic
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Michaels 42 / 100
Usher Celtic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Michaels Usher Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Usher Celtic conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.

Usher Celtic lost 4 of their last 5 games.

St. Michaels scored in 46% of their last 13 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Michaels VS Usher Celtic
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Michaels

(Home)
16 May
St. Michaels
1 : 3
Janesboro
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
22 Jul
St. Michaels
0 : 5
Waterford
10 Aug
St. Michaels
0 : 1
Glengad United
Page 1 of 3

Usher Celtic

(Away)
18 May
St. Michaels
:
Usher Celtic
27 Feb
St Mochta's
3 : 0
Usher Celtic
29 Jul
Treaty United
5 : 0
Usher Celtic
25 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
1 : 0
Usher Celtic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Lucan Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
North End United 1
Castlebar Celtic 4
TBD -
Longford -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
College Corinthians 1
Bangor Celtic 2
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Midleton 0
Killester Donnycarney 6
TBD -
Bohemians -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Bray -
TBD -
Wayside Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 0
Cork City -
TBD -
Leicester Celtic AFC 2
Fanad United 1
Waterford -
TBD -
St Mochta's 4
Douglas Hall 0
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers 1
University College Cork 3
Fairview Rangers 4
Baldoyle Utd. 0
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Salthill 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
St. Michaels -
Usher Celtic -
Galway United -
TBD -
Tolka 3
Janesboro 1
1/16-finals
Treaty United 1
Derry City 5
Drogheda 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Wexford 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
Longford 6
Kerry 2
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Cobh Ramblers 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Bohemians 7
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Finn Harps 3
UC Dublin 0
Bray 3
Wayside Celtic 0
Cork City 3
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
Waterford 5
St Mochta's 1
St. Patricks 8
University College Cork 0
Fairview Rangers 0
Shelbourne 4
Salthill 1
St. Michaels 0
Galway United 2
Tolka 0
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 2
Shamrock Rovers 2
Longford 1
Kerry 2
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Finn Harps 3
Bray 1
Cork City 2
Waterford 1
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 0
Salthill 0
Galway United 4
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Kerry 4
Sligo Rovers 3
Finn Harps 0
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 3
Galway United 1
Semi-finals
Shamrock Rovers 6
Kerry 1
Cork City 3
St. Patricks 0
Final
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0