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St Michel United vs Elgeco Plus

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2014 Stade Linité, Victoria
St Michel United Logo

St Michel United

2 - 1
FT
Elgeco Plus Logo

Elgeco Plus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St Michel United in this CAF Confederation Cup 2014 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
St Michel United
35%
Draws
32%
Elgeco Plus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Elgeco Plus haven't matched St Michel United's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • St Michel United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St Michel United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
St Michel United Clean Sheet 20%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Michel United Elgeco Plus
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2014 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs St Michel United
3:1
Feb 8, 2014 CAF Confederation Cup
St Michel United vs Elgeco Plus
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Michel United 32 / 100
Elgeco Plus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Michel United Elgeco Plus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Elgeco Plus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

St Michel United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Elgeco Plus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

St Michel United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Michel United VS Elgeco Plus
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Michel United

(Home)
22 May
St Michel United
3 : 4
Revengers
09 May
Lightstars
2 : 2
St Michel United
23 Apr
St Michel United
0 : 2
Saint Louis
09 Apr
Bazar Brothers
3 : 0
St Michel United
14 Mar
St Michel United
4 : 2
Anse Reunion
Page 1 of 7

Elgeco Plus

(Away)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Ahly -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Academie Tchite 1
TBD -
Ahli Shendi -
Gamtel 3
RSLAF 0
Sonabel Ouagadougou 0
Difaa El Jadidi 1
Real Bamako -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wadi Degla -
TBD -
CI Kamsar 1
Douanes Lome 3
Don Bosco 3
Victoria University 1
TBD -
Djoliba -
Leopard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zesco -
TBD -
Azam 1
Ferroviario Beira 2
Maghreb Fez -
TBD -
Panthers 1
Medeama 4
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Constantine 4
Nigelec 3
Estrela de Cantanhez 0
Red Lions 6
CO Bamako 2
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
TBD -
ASEC Mimosas -
Cotonsport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Ismaily -
TBD -
El-Ahli Atbara 1
FC MK Etancheite 1
Ebusua 1
ASC Jaraaf 0
African Stars 2
Petro Atletico 3
Horoya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd 3
Gaborone Utd 0
Mechal SC 1
Leopards 4
CARA Brazzaville 5
Al-Malakia 1
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Sewe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
How Mine 6
Chuoni 1
Elgeco Plus 4
St Michel United 3
Kondzo 3
Yong Sports 3
TBD -
Bayelsa United -
Nkana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warri Wolves -
TBD -
Aslad Moundou 2
Union Douala 4
Desportivo Huila 4
CF Mounana 3
TBD -
CA Bizertin -
Quarter-finals
Al Ahly -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kigali FC 2
Ahli Shendi 1
Gamtel 0
Difaa El Jadidi 6
Real Bamako -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wadi Degla 3
Douanes Lome 1
Don Bosco 2
Djoliba 2
Leopard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zesco 1
Ferroviario Beira 0
Maghreb Fez 2
Medeama 4
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Constantine 3
Red Lions 0
CO Bamako 1
ASEC Mimosas 3
Cotonsport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Ismaily 1
FC MK Etancheite 0
Ebusua 2
Petro Atletico 4
Horoya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Supersport Utd 4
Leopards 2
CARA Brazzaville 1
Etoile Sahel 3
Sewe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
How Mine 6
St Michel United 4
Kondzo 0
Bayelsa United 2
Nkana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warri Wolves 4
Union Douala 3
Desportivo Huila 0
CA Bizertin 3
Semi-finals
Al Ahly -
TBD -
Kigali FC 1
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Real Bamako -
TBD -
Wadi Degla 2
Djoliba 3
Leopard -
TBD -
Zesco 1
Medeama 2
Kaizer Chiefs -
TBD -
Constantine 1
ASEC Mimosas 6
Cotonsport -
TBD -
El Ismaily 0
Petro Atletico 1
Horoya -
TBD -
Supersport Utd 1
Etoile Sahel 5
Sewe -
TBD -
How Mine 2
Bayelsa United 3
Nkana -
TBD -
Warri Wolves 1
CA Bizertin 2
Final
Al Ahly 2
Difaa El Jadidi 2
Real Bamako 2
Djoliba 1
Leopard 3
Medeama 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
ASEC Mimosas 3
Cotonsport 4
Petro Atletico 3
Horoya 0
Etoile Sahel 1
Sewe 3
Bayelsa United 0
Nkana 1
CA Bizertin 1