Sport Picks
St. Mirren B vs Kelty Hearts Prediction & H2H Stats
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2021/2022 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley 
Match Events
69'
69'
Tidser M.
Assist: Biabi B.
89'
89'
Jack J.
Assist: Offord K.
1'
1'
Offord K.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with St. Mirren B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Mirren B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kelty Hearts carry the better recent record into this one.
- St. Mirren B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Kelty Hearts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor St. Mirren B, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 14%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Mirren B | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.65 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2025 Challenge Cup
Kelty Hearts vs St. Mirren B
2:1
Aug 10, 2021 Challenge Cup
St. Mirren B vs Kelty Hearts
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Mirren B Compare
Top Goalscorer Jack J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.04
Avg xA / game 1.32
Kelty Hearts Compare
Top Goalscorer Tidser M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Mirren B 84 / 100
Kelty Hearts 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Mirren B Kelty Hearts
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kelty Hearts let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
St. Mirren B's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
St. Mirren B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Mirren B VS Kelty Hearts
2.8 Goals Scored 1.63
1.6 Goals Conceded 2.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Mirren B
(Home) 26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4 St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1 St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0 St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5 St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4 St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4
01 Aug
St. Mirren B
2 : 3 Albion Rovers
09 Aug
St. Mirren B
0 : 1 East Stirlingshire
10 Aug
St. Mirren B
2 : 1 Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts
(Away) 26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3 Kelty Hearts
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0 Kelty Hearts
15 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
01 Aug
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Hamilton -
TBD -
Edinburgh City 0
Hearts B 1
Brora Rangers 0
Aberdeen B 1
TBD -
Arbroath -
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
Falkirk 3
East Kilbride 0
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
Queen's Park 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Hibernian B 1
Elgin City 2
TBD -
Dunfermline -
Inverness -
TBD -
Brechin 1
Buckie Thistle 3
Raith -
TBD -
Forfar Athletic 1
Formartine Utd 0
Dundee FC B 1
Peterhead 2
East Fife 1
St Johnstone B 0
Cove Rangers -
TBD -
Stenhousemuir 3
Dundee Utd B 0
Livingston B -
Albion Rovers -
St. Mirren B 2
Kelty Hearts 1
Fraserburgh 0
Cowdenbeath 1
TBD -
Alloa -
Dumbarton 2
Rangers B 3
TBD -
Ayr -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
Broomhill 1
Clyde 0
Stranraer -
Motherwell B -
TBD -
Partick -
Montrose -
TBD -
Ross County 2 -
Stirling -
Celtic B 2
Annan 0
TBD -
Morton -
1/16-finals
Hamilton 3
Hearts B 2
Aberdeen B 2
Arbroath 1
Kilmarnock 3
Falkirk 1
Airdrieonians 1
Queen's Park 2
Elgin City 3
Dunfermline 0
Inverness 4
Buckie Thistle 0
Raith 1
Forfar Athletic 0
Peterhead 0
East Fife 1
Cove Rangers 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Albion Rovers 6
St. Mirren B 0
Cowdenbeath 0
Alloa 2
Rangers B 3
Ayr 0
Queen of the South 3
Broomhill 0
Stranraer 0
Partick 2
Montrose 1
Stirling 0
Celtic B 1
Morton 3
1/8-finals
Hamilton 2
Aberdeen B 0
Kilmarnock 3
Queen's Park 1
Elgin City 2
Inverness 4
Raith 3
East Fife 1
Cove Rangers 4
Albion Rovers 1
Alloa 2
Rangers B 3
Queen of the South 2
Partick 0
Montrose 0
Morton 1
Quarter-finals
Hamilton 2
Kilmarnock 3
Inverness 0
Raith 1
Cove Rangers 5
Rangers B 1
Queen of the South 2
Morton 1
Semi-finals
Kilmarnock 1
Raith 2
Cove Rangers 0
Queen of the South 1
Final
Raith 3
Queen of the South 1
