Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs Celtic

Scotland Scotland

Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Donovan C.
22' Event
Agrafiotis N.
(Penalty)
29'
Duran C.

AI Match Summary

Celtic in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celtic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
St. Mirren
15%
Draws
64%
Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celtic lately — more wins on the board than St. Mirren.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Celtic have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Celtic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Celtic
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Scottish Cup
Celtic vs St. Mirren
6:2
Apr 11, 2026 Premiership
Celtic vs St. Mirren
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 League Cup
St. Mirren vs Celtic
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Celtic
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Scales L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yang Hyun-Jun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 30 / 100
Celtic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celtic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: St. Mirren scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Celtic conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: St. Mirren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Celtic
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
16 Aug
Rangers
5 : 1
St. Mirren
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Celtic

(Away)
13 Sept
Rangers
3 : 0
Celtic
09 Sept
St Johnstone
0 : 1
Celtic
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Celtic
3 : 0
Aberdeen
29 Aug
Celtic
2 : 1
Falkirk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 14:3 18
2 Rangers 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Hearts 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
4 St. Mirren 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
5 Motherwell 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
6 Dundee FC 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
7 St Johnstone 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
8 Aberdeen 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
9 Hibernian 6 2 0 4 7:10 6
10 Falkirk 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
11 Dundee Utd 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
12 Kilmarnock 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)