Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
20'
Cleall-Harding S.
27' Event
Sapsford Z.
Assist: Watters M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
St. Mirren
17%
Draws
13%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: St. Mirren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Mirren have won more games recently than Dundee Utd.
  • Model gives St. Mirren a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 20%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Dundee Utd
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren
3:1
May 10, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Young J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapsford Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 67 / 100
Dundee Utd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St. Mirren remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St. Mirren's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Dundee Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Dundee Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
21 Jul
St. Mirren
4 : 3
East Kilbride
18 Jul
Cove Rangers
0 : 4
St. Mirren
11 Jul
Dumbarton
0 : 4
St. Mirren
27 Jun
Arbroath
2 : 4
St. Mirren
25 May
St. Mirren
1 : 0
Partick
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Dundee Utd

(Away)
21 Jul
Dundee Utd
4 : 0
Spartans
18 Jul
Dundee Utd
3 : 0
Arbroath
14 Jul
Montrose
1 : 0
Dundee Utd
11 Jul
Stirling
0 : 1
Dundee Utd
17 May
St. Mirren
1 : 1
Dundee Utd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Dundee Utd3810151349:6045
8Dundee FC381191842:6142
9Aberdeen381172040:5540
10Kilmarnock3810101850:6840
11St. Mirren388102030:5534
12Livingston382152140:7521
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)