Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd

Scotland Scotland

Premiership 2025/2026 The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
St. Mirren Logo

St. Mirren

1 - 1
FT
Dundee Utd Logo

Dundee Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
20'
Cleall-Harding S.
27' Event
Sapsford Z.
Assist: Watters M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
St. Mirren
20%
Draws
51%
Dundee Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dundee Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Mirren have won more games recently than Dundee Utd.
  • Model gives Dundee Utd a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 12%
Dundee Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Mirren Dundee Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd
0:3
May 17, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Dundee Utd
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Premiership
Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Young J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Dundee Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapsford Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 22 / 100
Dundee Utd 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Mirren Dundee Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dundee Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Dundee Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

St. Mirren went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS Dundee Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2
Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1
St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3
Motherwell
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Dundee Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3
Dundee Utd
05 Sept
Dundee Utd
1 : 1
Falkirk
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
29 Aug
Kilmarnock
0 : 4
Dundee Utd
22 Aug
Dundee Utd
0 : 2
Dundee FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Dundee Utd 38 10 15 13 49:60 45
8 Dundee FC 38 11 9 18 42:61 42
9 Aberdeen 38 11 7 20 40:55 40
10 Kilmarnock 38 10 10 18 50:68 40
11 St. Mirren 38 8 10 20 30:55 34
12 Livingston 38 2 15 21 40:75 21
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship (Main)