Sport Picks

St. Mirren vs East Kilbride Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland

League Cup The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

St. Mirren

4 - 3

East Kilbride

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Calder O.

32'

Elliott C.

(Penalty)

39'

Elliott C.

Assist: Gray F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

St. Mirren

20%

Draws

57%

East Kilbride

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

East Kilbride carry the better recent record into this one.
57% — that's where the model lands on East Kilbride taking it.
East Kilbride arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor St. Mirren, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors St. Mirren here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

St. Mirren Clean Sheet 10%

East Kilbride Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	St. Mirren	East Kilbride
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	12	16
Draws	4	4
Losses	14	8
Goals Scored	1.33	2.57
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 League Cup

St. Mirren vs East Kilbride

4:3

Jul 20, 2019 League Cup

East Kilbride vs St. Mirren

1:0

Aug 15, 2017 Challenge Cup

St. Mirren vs East Kilbride

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Mirren Compare

Top Goalscorer Carr R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Phillips K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Mirren 10 / 100

East Kilbride 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

St. Mirren East Kilbride

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 3:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

St. Mirren scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: East Kilbride conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: St. Mirren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Mirren VS East Kilbride

1 Goals Scored 1.88

2 Goals Conceded 1.75

57% Over 1.5 88%

57% Over 2.5 75%

29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Mirren

(Home)

19 Sept

St. Mirren

0 : 3

Dundee Utd

09 Sept

Rangers

1 : 0

St. Mirren

05 Sept

St. Mirren

1 : 2

Celtic

02 Sept

Kilmarnock

0 : 1

St. Mirren

30 Aug

St. Mirren

3 : 3

Motherwell

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East Kilbride

(Away)

26 Sept

Stranraer

4 : 3

East Kilbride

22 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 3

Celtic B

19 Sept

Alloa

1 : 2

East Kilbride

12 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Peterhead

08 Sept

East Kilbride

3 : 1

Bonnyrigg Rose

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