Sport Picks
St. Mirren vs Motherwell - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Premiership The SMISA Stadium, Paisley 
Match Events
2'
2'
Maswanhise T.
Assist: Lowry A.
15'
15'
Maswanhise T.
Penalty Missed
24'
24'
Charles-Cook R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premiership matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to St. Mirren lately — more wins on the board than Motherwell.
- St. Mirren are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Premiership form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St. Mirren Clean Sheet 16%
Motherwell Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Mirren | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
3:3
Feb 21, 2026 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
0:5
Jan 3, 2026 Premiership
Motherwell vs St. Mirren
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 League Cup
Motherwell vs St. Mirren
1:4
Aug 9, 2025 Premiership
St. Mirren vs Motherwell
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Mirren Compare
Top Goalscorer Nsio P.
1 Goals Assists Leader John D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Motherwell Compare
Top Goalscorer Maswanhise T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Charles-Cook R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Mirren 36 / 100
Motherwell 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Mirren Motherwell
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
St. Mirren scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Motherwell let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Away concern: Motherwell has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
St. Mirren VS Motherwell
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Mirren
(Home) 19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3 Dundee Utd
09 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0 St. Mirren
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2 Celtic
02 Sept
Kilmarnock
0 : 1 St. Mirren
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3 Motherwell
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
St. Mirren
0 : 3 Dundee Utd
05 Sept
St. Mirren
1 : 2 Celtic
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3 Motherwell
08 Aug
St. Mirren
1 : 0 St Johnstone
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1 Dunfermline
Page 1 of 3
Motherwell
(Away) 19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1 Motherwell
15 Sept
Motherwell
0 : 4 Aberdeen
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0 Motherwell
02 Sept
Motherwell
3 : 0 Dundee Utd
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3 Motherwell
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dundee FC
2 : 1 Motherwell
05 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0 Motherwell
30 Aug
St. Mirren
3 : 3 Motherwell
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
16 Aug
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0 Motherwell
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Hearts | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 6 | St Johnstone | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:15 | 5 |
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership (Relegation Group)
