Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Werder P.
17'
17'
25'
25'
Doyle G.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-2, with St Mochta's advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Mochta's
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- St Mochta's carry the better recent record into this one.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on St Mochta's taking it.
- St Mochta's have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St Mochta's, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
St Mochta's Clean Sheet 10%
Arklow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Mochta's | Arklow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 3 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2015 FAI Cup
St Mochta's vs Arklow
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Mochta's Compare
Top Goalscorer Somers D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Crowe G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Arklow Compare
Top Goalscorer Werder P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Doyle G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St Mochta's 38 / 100
Arklow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St Mochta's Arklow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St Mochta's Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Arklow conceded in 100% of 3 recent games.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
St Mochta's found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (18 games).
St Mochta's has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St Mochta's VS Arklow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
St Mochta's
(Home) 17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
15 May
Wayside Celtic
3 : 4 St Mochta's
18 Jul
Waterford
5 : 1 St Mochta's
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
08 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 1 St Mochta's
Page 1 of 4
17 Jul
St Mochta's
1 : 3 Dundalk
17 May
St Mochta's
4 : 0 Douglas Hall
27 Feb
St Mochta's
3 : 0 Usher Celtic
31 Jan
St Mochta's
0 : 2 Bohemians
10 Jul
St Mochta's
0 : 7 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 2
Arklow
(Away) 26 Apr
St Mochta's
5 : 2 Arklow
12 Jun
UC Dublin
3 : 1 Arklow
24 May
Dublin University
1 : 2 Arklow
26 Apr
St Mochta's
5 : 2 Arklow
12 Jun
UC Dublin
3 : 1 Arklow
24 May
Dublin University
1 : 2 Arklow
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Firhouse 1
Glenville 0
TBD -
Bohemians -
Tolka -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Dunboyne 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Edenderry Town -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
North End United 4
University College Cork 0
TBD -
Galway United -
Cobh Wanderers 2
Clonmel Celtic 0
St. Marys 0
Avondale United 1
Crumlin Utd 1
College Corinthians 0
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Sheriff YC -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Liffey Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Cockhill 1
Casement Celtic 0
Arklow 2
St Mochta's 5
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
1/16-finals
Bray 3
Limerick 1
Firhouse 1
Bohemians 4
Tolka 2
Waterford 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Derry City 3
Edenderry Town 0
Cabinteely 1
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Wexford 0
Cork City 2
Dundalk 5
Shelbourne 0
North End United 0
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 6
Avondale United 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 2
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin 1
Liffey Wanderers 2
Athlone 3
Cockhill 3
St Mochta's 0
Finn Harps 1
Longford 2
1/8-finals
Bray 1
Bohemians 0
Tolka 0
Killester Donnycarney 4
Derry City 3
Drogheda 0
St. Patricks 0
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Galway United 1
Cobh Wanderers 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 3
Athlone 2
Cockhill 0
Longford 2
Quarter-finals
Bray 2
Killester Donnycarney 0
Derry City 1
Cork City 4
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 0
Sheriff YC 1
Longford 3
Semi-finals
Bray 0
Cork City 1
Dundalk 2
Longford 0
Final
Cork City 0
Dundalk 1
