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St. Patricks CY vs Carew Park

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks CY play Carew Park in the FAI Cup 2013. Carew Park are favorites here. Recently, St. Patricks CY averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. Carew Park averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, St. Patricks CY won 1, Carew Park won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2013 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for St. Patricks CY and 1.88 for Carew Park. This points to a Carew Park double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
St. Patricks CY
25%
Draws
60%
Carew Park
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Carew Park

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Patricks CY picked up more points recently compared to Carew Park.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
St. Patricks CY Clean Sheet 10%
Carew Park Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks CY Carew Park
Matches Played 8 2
Wins 3 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 FAI Cup
St. Patricks CY vs Carew Park
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks CY Compare

Top Goalscorer Doolan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mooney J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carew Park Compare

Top Goalscorer Connery J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grant J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks CY 16 / 100
Carew Park 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks CY Carew Park

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carew Park Win (2)
Secondary Pick Carew Park & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Patricks CY attacking → ← attacking Carew Park

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks CY scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Carew Park let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

St. Patricks CY went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Carew Park lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00