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St. Patricks vs Bohemians Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks host Bohemians in the Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bohemians have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while St. Patricks have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.6. Head-to-head, St. Patricks have won 1 to Bohemians's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.63) point toward Bohemians. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
50%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bohemians come out ahead of St. Patricks on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 14%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Bohemians
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
1:2
Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 41 / 100
Bohemians 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bohemians let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

St. Patricks has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Bohemians
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

Bohemians

(Away)
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0
Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)