Sport Picks
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
Ireland
FAI Cup Richmond Park, Dublin 
Match Events
48'
48'
Turner L.
48'
48'
Forrester C.
55'
55'
Sub
Keena A. In: Edmondson R.
Out: Keena A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bohemians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bohemians have won more games recently than St. Patricks.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Bohemians taking it.
- Bohemians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bohemians, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 17%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Patricks | Bohemians |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
1:2
Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Patricks Compare
Top Goalscorer Breslin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Bohemians Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Patricks 12 / 100
Bohemians 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Patricks Bohemians
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bohemians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Patricks found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Bohemians conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: St. Patricks stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Patricks VS Bohemians
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Patricks
(Home) 05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Dundalk
Page 1 of 4
Bohemians
(Away) 05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0 Longford
13 Aug
Midtjylland
3 : 2 Bohemians
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
13 Aug
Midtjylland
3 : 2 Bohemians
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1 Bohemians
30 Jul
FC Ballkani
3 : 3 Bohemians
19 Jul
Ringmahon Rangers
: Bohemians
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
