Sport Picks

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St. Patricks vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Doyle M.
34' Event
Leavy K.
37'
Sub
Cruise K. In: Kane C.
Out: Cruise K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Drogheda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
St. Patricks
30%
Draws
23%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Drogheda on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Patricks here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 17%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Drogheda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.66 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
0:2
Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
1:3
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Drogheda
4:1
Aug 22, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs St. Patricks
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Leavy K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elbouzedi Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Drogheda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 39 / 100
Drogheda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Drogheda conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Drogheda
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
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Drogheda

(Away)
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 28 16 7 5 46:27 55
2 St. Patricks 29 14 8 7 45:25 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50:34 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 46:45 40
5 Shelbourne 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 41:40 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 36:42 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 39:48 32
9 Drogheda 29 6 10 13 33:48 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23:48 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)