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St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks play Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Patricks averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. Shamrock Rovers averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, St. Patricks won 1, Shamrock Rovers won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for St. Patricks and 1.00 for Shamrock Rovers. This points to a Shamrock Rovers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
St. Patricks
16%
Draws
46%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks picked up more points recently compared to Shamrock Rovers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 23%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0
May 19, 2025 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Byrne J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 39 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shamrock Rovers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Patricks attacking → ← attacking Shamrock Rovers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Shamrock Rovers let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

St. Patricks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shamrock Rovers lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 62
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks23125638:1941
4Dundalk2398637:3435
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United22661029:3724
8Drogheda23571127:4022
9Waterford23481132:4620
10Sligo Rovers23551318:3720