Sport Picks
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
Ireland
FAI Cup Richmond Park, Dublin 
Match Events
19'
19'
O'Sullivan J.
25'
25'
Turner L.
39'
39'
Afolabi J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Patricks
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of St. Patricks on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on St. Patricks taking it.
- Shamrock Rovers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor St. Patricks, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 18%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Patricks | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
3:2
May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Patricks Compare
Top Goalscorer Turner L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rooney S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Shamrock Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Afolabi J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Patricks 85 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Patricks scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Shamrock Rovers conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
St. Patricks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Patricks VS Shamrock Rovers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Patricks
(Home) 14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4 St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2 St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2 Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2 Waterford
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
Shamrock Rovers
(Away) 11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0 Shelbourne
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
20 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 KuPS
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
27 Aug
KuPS
1 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2 Shamrock Rovers
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians -
Waterford -
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
