Sport Picks

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St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. St. Patricks have averaged 1.72 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Shamrock Rovers's 1.79 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Shamrock Rovers slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.75) back Shamrock Rovers to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Patricks
30%
Draws
27%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of St. Patricks on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 12%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 18
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
3:2
May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
2:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 83 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

St. Patricks found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Shamrock Rovers conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Shamrock Rovers
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
24 Jul
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Dundalk
17 Jul
St. Patricks
2 : 1
Wexford
Page 1 of 6

Shamrock Rovers

(Away)
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
13 Aug
KF Egnatia
5 : 1
Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Dundalk
04 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
KF Egnatia
31 Jul
Drogheda
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 27 16 6 5 43:24 54
2 St. Patricks 28 14 8 6 45:23 50
3 Bohemians 28 13 8 7 47:34 47
4 Dundalk 28 9 10 9 43:43 37
5 Shelbourne 26 8 10 8 36:38 34
6 Derry City 28 7 12 9 38:37 33
7 Galway United 27 8 9 10 35:41 33
8 Waterford 28 6 11 11 37:48 29
9 Drogheda 28 6 10 12 31:45 28
10 Sligo Rovers 28 5 8 15 23:45 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)