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St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
McClelland J.
Assist: Lennon J.
32'
Lopes R.
33' Event
Keena A.
Assist: Elbouzedi Z.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Shamrock Rovers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
45%
Shamrock Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shamrock Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamrock Rovers come out ahead of St. Patricks on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Patricks a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%
Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.64 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
2:0
Aug 16, 2026 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
3:2
May 29, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs St. Patricks
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer McClelland J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Shamrock Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 68 / 100
Shamrock Rovers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Shamrock Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Shamrock Rovers conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Shamrock Rovers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

Shamrock Rovers

(Away)
12 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1
Bohemians
08 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 33 19 8 6 54:33 65
2 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
3 Bohemians 33 17 8 8 58:40 59
4 Shelbourne 33 10 13 10 47:46 43
5 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
6 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 33 8 10 15 39:54 34
10 Sligo Rovers 33 5 8 20 25:59 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)