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St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Redmond J.
61'
Sub
Keena A. In: Baggley B.
Out: Keena A.
65'
Sub
Stewart S. In: Zefi K.
Out: Stewart S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Sligo Rovers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
0%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Sligo Rovers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
0:1
Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
May 4, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Redmond J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forrester C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 95 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Sligo Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Sligo Rovers has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sligo Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Sligo Rovers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Dundalk
0 : 4
St. Patricks
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
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Sligo Rovers

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 31 9 12 10 41:44 39
7 Galway United 31 9 10 12 41:47 37
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)