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St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Redmond J.
61'
Sub
Keena A. In: Baggley B.
Out: Keena A.
65'
Sub
Stewart S. In: Zefi K.
Out: Stewart S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Sligo Rovers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Patricks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Patricks
6%
Draws
4%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Sligo Rovers on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Patricks's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
2:0
May 4, 2026 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:1
Apr 3, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premier Division
Sligo Rovers vs St. Patricks
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Sligo Rovers
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Redmond J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Forrester C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 95 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Sligo Rovers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Sligo Rovers has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Sligo Rovers
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shamrock Rovers25155540:2250
2Bohemians25127640:2743
3St. Patricks24126639:2042
4Dundalk2498738:3635
5Shelbourne24810635:3534
6Derry City25611832:3129
7Galway United23761032:3927
8Drogheda24671129:4125
9Waterford24491133:4721
10Sligo Rovers24551420:4020